Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 4.873249 5.471968 6.125000 6.891706 7.769168 8.744281 9.913085
2025-01-19 3.782321 4.527222 5.400666 6.505965 7.875120 9.525398 11.680109
2025-01-26 3.274172 4.111691 5.149036 6.539683 8.372284 10.728529 14.025766
2025-02-02 2.986946 3.901808 5.087430 6.755491 9.072126 12.220773 16.901789
2025-02-09 2.735745 3.694175 4.984750 6.877021 9.627045 13.550768 19.705803
2025-02-16 2.522511 3.506276 4.876207 6.959616 10.112749 14.813377 22.558135
2025-02-23 2.342918 3.342173 4.776347 7.030987 10.572275 16.069864 25.552773
2025-03-02 2.119974 3.091172 4.521276 6.834175 10.585013 16.616621 27.448190
2025-03-09 1.956994 2.913136 4.355642 6.752469 10.760489 17.428848 29.883891
2025-03-16 1.811929 2.748924 4.194513 6.657402 10.895562 18.176272 32.291973
2025-03-23 1.761396 2.727244 4.253622 6.925633 11.669405 20.110260 37.165887
2025-03-30 1.661543 2.617610 4.159872 6.923291 11.963468 21.210445 40.586062
2025-04-06 1.556655 2.494261 4.037489 6.866834 12.167118 22.192980 43.983185
2025-04-13 1.403183 2.278796 3.743262 6.477961 11.712331 21.861373 44.587242
2025-04-20 1.335341 2.203722 3.684212 6.510560 12.062879 23.157087 48.924711
2025-04-27 1.301885 2.185155 3.721840 6.725076 12.791096 25.310290 55.565091
2025-05-04 1.256730 2.142233 3.711672 6.845943 13.341816 27.159269 61.823991
2025-05-11 1.209553 2.092011 3.683675 6.928106 13.819370 28.908735 68.159094
2025-05-18 1.164416 2.042141 3.652066 6.999109 14.279338 30.676912 74.874214
2025-05-25 1.089328 1.931568 3.497087 6.803307 14.132698 31.020001 77.867408
2025-06-01 1.033989 1.854602 3.401287 6.722018 14.232588 31.958755 82.668643
2025-06-08 0.981215 1.779216 3.303311 6.627437 14.291524 32.804379 87.369020
2025-06-15 0.971618 1.786637 3.369973 6.894296 15.225362 35.968650 99.559277